The Demographic Cliff
- How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019
- Narrated by: Harry S. Dent Jr.
- Length: 11 hrs and 4 mins
- Unabridged Audiobook
- Release date: 07-01-14
- Language: English
- Publisher: Brilliance Audio
Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world.
Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy.
But now, Dent argues, the fundamental demographics have turned against the United States and will hit more countries ahead. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation - weakening the economy the most from 2014 into 2019.
Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions. He offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies.
Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, listeners will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead.
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Customer ReviewsMost Helpful
By Markus on 04-12-15
Gold is also Money
Great insights into the coming collapse. Only disagreement is on Gold. Yes it is a commodity but it is also Money and in times of crisis everyone will flock to it...commodity down turn or not.
2 of 4 people found this review helpful
Customer ReviewsMost Helpful
By Lance G. on 06-03-14
interesting, but questionable
Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?
Yes, because it makes one think about the potential for future change.
What did you like best about this story?
Acknowledging that demographic and population level changes just have to have an economic effect.
What does Harry S. Dent, Jr. bring to the story that you wouldn’t experience if you just read the book?
His passion for the topic. Though, to be fair, I bought the audio book to use the two hours of commute each day more equitably than listening to Miley Cyrus screech at me.
What insight do you think you’ll apply from The Demographic Cliff?
I haven't decided yet. Even though I'm almost fifty, I'm just getting off the ground in my 401k. If Dent's prediction of a demographic cliff striking soon comes to fruition, I have plenty of time to capitalize on that downside.
Any additional comments?
Dent has an image problem. There's a lot of negative press out there about him and his predictions. He mentions Tony Robbins a lot too, who has his own image issues. A lot of people think these guys are, to a greater or lesser extent, snake oil salesmen. I think a more concerted effort should be made by Dent to reasonably talk down his critics; not, I hasten to add, in a negative way, but in a constructive prove-my-pont sort of way.
11 of 11 people found this review helpful
By GH on 16-01-14
Outstanding Information -- a must read
In the demographic Cliff, Dent make a reasoned, well supported argument for his predictions. The first third of the book is very slow because he spends a great deal of time convincing you of his solid record in past predictions -- of course they have worked out well or why would he write another book?
That sarcasm aside, he makes a very convincing argument and it dovetails with other books like "The Next 100 years" and Freakonomics. I think this is a must read -- think it over, his argument does make common sense.
15 of 16 people found this review helpful